Friday, June 25, 2010
The MLS Power Rankings have LA and RSL at the top with the Crew, Colorado, Dallas and Toronto rounding out the top of our table. The drop-off below Toronto is enough to suggest that the top six right now are the cream of the league. It will be very interesting to see how the long lay off for the league affects play. Teams will surely be rusty, and so matches could be sloppy and the results unpredictable. To the right are some recommendations for punters.
Emotions are too high for the US match for El Chupa to be even remotely objective. The odds and probabilities seem spot on, and with extra time and penalty kicks now in play, teams that are relatively equal could play cautiously late in the second half. This perhaps makes fulltime draws more likely, including the US match. But again, our hopes are too high and our hearts are full--so we demur.
The English psyche is fraught with memories of losing to Germany in PKs in big tournaments. We think both teams are beatable, and given England's performance in group play give a slight nod to Germany, especially with Mesut Ozil up front, whom we quite like. However, we can see both teams playing cautiously, especially in the second half. If punt you must on this one, punt the draw.
Finally, perhaps the most anticipated match from a pure love of the beautiful game standpoint, we have Argentina v Mexico. Argentina is heavily favored, and we give them the nod as our pick of the weekend's matches. But we think the odds on Mexico are highly skewed, and if you're looking to slap down 10 bucks for the hell of it, you can't do any better this weekend than dropping the price of a few pints on Mexico, who have been playing well since the pre-WC friendlies. We don't think a Mexican hat dance over Messi and Maradona Inc is probable, but it's certainly possible. Arriba Mexico! Our brothers in the CONCACAF!