Wednesday, July 22, 2009

El Luchador's Line: DAL at RSL

The latest line on this match is as follows:

RealSaltLake -142 FCDallas +335 Tie +240 Over 2.5 (-142) Under 2.5 (even).

We think this is about right. The Luchametric power rankings have DAL at 37.5 and RSL at 78. The other numbers tell us that RSL is very tough at home, and that DAL doesn't win on the road. Neither does DAL score (especially on the road), and they give up a lot of SHT generally as well as goals on the road in particular. Both are near the bottom of the actual standings, but RSL has a positive GD and DAL has a negative GD. Both teams will be without their respective best scorers as both Cooper (DAL) and Beckerman (RSL) are up with the US Men's National Team at the Gold Cup. Dallas will have their starting goalkeeper back from injury, which should help. However, El Luchador strongly thinks that the elevation of Rio Tinto Stadium (4,450 ft) is impacting teams as they come into play RSL. Dallas players will be going from 450ft above sea level to over a mile above sea level.

El Luchador says: take RSL to win. A $142 bet will earn you $100. That's a 70% return on your investment. Do the math.

As always, check your sources for the most up-to-date lines available.

1 comment:

pate said...

umm, RSL is a 78 and DAL is a 37.5, and Beckerman's a midfielder for RSL, not a striker.

still, I think RSL is going to win this one walking away.